- The Unthinkable Happened – What Will a Trump Presidency Mean for You?
- Interference in the US Election: Where Do We Draw the Line?
- US Presidential Election 2016: Who is the Lesser of Two Evils?
- The US Electoral College: An Explainer
- US Presidential Election 2016: A Close Call?
- Hofstra University Presidential Debate – Live Blog
- A Look Across the Pond: Issue 1
- A Look Across the Pond: Issue 2
- A Look Across the Pond: Issue 3
- A Look Across The Pond: Issue 4
- If Clinton Was Male She Would Win In A Landslide
- Washington University Presidential Debate – Live Blog
- University Of Nevada Presidential Debate – Live Blog
- US Presidential Debate Sketch: What Would George Think?
- Trump Announces His ‘Contract With The American Voter’
- People Shouldn’t Vote For Hillary Because Of Gender
- Trump, Fear and Trembling
- Five Reasons Not To Worry (Too) Much About Trump
- US Presidential Election 2016: Live Blog
Welcome to Wessex Scene’s Live Coverage of the 2016 US Presidential Election. We’ll bring you all the latest developments as the results in each state are declared and we begin to find out who will be in the White House tomorrow.
You can also follow our updates on Twitter @WSPolitics.
Welcome to our live coverage. Tonight looks set to be one of the closest races for the White House in modern history. Stay with us for all of the latest results, developments and controversies as it draws to a close at some point early tomorrow morning.
After three long debate nights we can finally bring you our final live blog of the 2016 Election. As a writer I have covered this election for Wessex Scene since I joined in October 2015 and along side Wessex Scene I have witnessed the highs and lows, the rise to power and the full of famous faces.
“Preliminary exit polling data is out and some of it reinforces the information we already had. Many voters have a negative view of the candidates – one in five Clinton voters said they chiefly oppose the other candidate, and 27% of Trump supporters said the same.
Crucially, turnout rates among Republicans, Democrats and Independents look like they’ll be comparable to 2012 based on this very early information. If current polling predictions hold true and turnout rates remain relatively consistent, that could work in Clinton’s favour.” – Mona Chalabi US Guardian
And it begins, in just 7 minutes the polls will close in Indiana and Kentucky, which in the past have typically been Republican states. But will they vote for Donald Trump?
According to NBC Politics, 64% say that Trump ‘does not have a temperament to serve’. Isn’t he supposed to have a winning temperament?
Two of the US’s largest betting firms are predicting an 85% chance of a Clinton win. Will anyone’s bet pay off tonight?
So far, 1% reporting, with New Hampshire and Kentucky coming out, Republicans have 2 seats in the White House (216 more needed) and 30 seats in the Senate (21 more needed).
Republicans seem to have the lead in New Hampshire and Kentucky – but these have typically voted Republican in the past.
Of course the Presidential election is not the only election tonight – The US House of Representatives as well as a 1/3 of the US Senate is also being elected tonight and as it stands these are the numbers:
34 of 100 seats up for election (51 to win majority)
435 seats up for election (218 to win majority)
Arguably the biggest controversy today was the refusal by a Nevada court of Trump’s request to preserve and segregate votes in Clark County, Nevada after a record number of Latino voters. The court said that the state was already obligated to retain sufficient records.
Florida is always the battleground state for elections – Obama and Romney struggled greatly.
Keep your eyes on states such as Utah, North Carolina, Nevada and Florida. They will make the difference tonight
If Trump doesn’t win Florida it would make him winning extremely difficult, not impossible but a great hindrance to say the least
So far (1% reporting) the Republicans have a 74% lead in New Hampshire and Kentucky. 8 of the available electoral votes come from Kentucky and 4 from New Hampshire. So while these may help Trump, they are by no means indicative of who will be the next US president.
So, why do people vote for who they vote for? Is it because they want change to their country or for a leader who has the experience? CNN took these questions to the public and found that 38% were looking for a candidate who brought change to the country; whereas only 22% wanted an experienced leader.
Today is not just an election day – worth noting a number of states are also holding their own legislative ballots, including on marijuana legalisation in California and Arizona and Colorado on assisted dying.
The key here will be to watch Ohio, the state has voted for the candidate that has become President every year since 1976. Kind of like the Octopus in the 2012 Euro cup.
in Kentucky (The first poll that will imminently close during this election) Donald Trump is 72.7% ahead.
Polls in Georgia, Indiana, South Carolina, Kentucky and Vermont and Virginia close in just over 40 minutes, expecting indicayions of the results here soon.
Fun Election Night fact: The Trump campaign and Clinton Campaign parties are less than two blocks away from each other. One in Trump tower, the other with a glass ceiling. Guess which one is which?
A Polling station in California (the state that holds the most electoral votes) is in lock down after shooting occurred and two people were wounded.
Key race alert – Indiana – Trump 69.3% but very early on.
Flashback to 2012: the biggest controversy in the debate stage of the campaign was Romney saying “We had binders of Women”
Polls in North Carolina close at 12:30am, the first key swing states
4,000 votes have now been counted in Indiana and the margins are 69% Trump, 27.5% Clinton. Not surprising as Indiana has traditionally been rather conservative politically speaking.
Guv. of Ohio and former Republican nominee candidate John Kasich voted for McCain and not Trump
3 Polling stations in Indiana have closed and have voted, in the majority, for Trump.
Counting currently underway in Kentucky – currently Trump 68.3%, Clinton 28.3%. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson so far has 2% of the vote.
Confused how it all works? We don’t have Mr. Vine but we do have SUSUtv https://www.facebook.com/SUSUtv/?fref=ts&rf=110981765619828
Has Donald Trump awoken a sleeping giant with his previous comments about Latinos? A surge in Latino voters is on the cards.
FiveThirtyEight are making some interesting comparisons between exit polls in 2012 and today:
- College graduates are 50 percent of the electorate in 2016 versus 47 percent in 2012.
- Liberals are 27 percent of the electorate compared to 25 percent in 2012.
- Senior citizens (65+ year-olds) are 17 percent of the electorate in 2016 compared to 16 percent in 2012.
- Evangelical white voters are 27 percent of the electorate in 2016 versus 26 percent in 2012.
New Hampshire democrats have filed a motion to keep polling stations open for longer in Dover due to incorrect times in an email sent to voters.
The Donald Trump Campaign intends to sue Nevada officials for keeping the polling stations open for an extra two hours to accommodate the huge interest of Hispanic voters lined up and ready to cast their vote.
“If he gets what Mr Romney got he’ll win the election.” – Trump Campaigner, not sure he knows how the Electoral College works…
In the exit poll, 29% have said they are ‘afraid’ of the possibility of Clinton being president.
After 37,000 votes have been counted in Kentucky the result is now 68% Trump, 27% Clinton.
Most exit polls show that the majority of voters have a negative opinion of both candidates.
Lines of women voters in the cemetery of Susan B. Anthony putting ‘I voted’ stickers on the suffrage activist’s grave.
1% reporting on New Hampshire, Indiana and Kentucky: 69% for Trump and 29% for Clinton. Some votes have gone to Stein and Johnson.
If you’re unsure about how the Electoral College system works be sure to check our guide.
The Telegraph have stated that Clinton’s votes have been boosted by a high Latino turnout. Has this been due to Trump’s riling of Mexicans?
So far, in the 13 polling stations in Indiana that have closed Trump is ahead in ALL BUT ONE (Allen County) in which there appears to be a slight favour of Clinton(49.8% to 48%).
Clinton campaign confident they will win Virginia
More information on the shooting near a poll station in Azusa, California. One person is dead and multiple others have been shot. The shooter is “heavily armed” and “active”.
The demographic changes in Georgia could mean that democratic win is in reach or will at least be in the future.
Our first projections are coming in and it leaves the tally at Trump 19 – Clinton 3
Trump wins Kentucky, Indiana, Clinton wins Vermont.
Polls now closed in Florida, Virginia, South Carolina.
With the polls now closing the first three major calls in the presidential race have been released by news agencies. Looks promising for Trump.
The first set of calls give Donald Trump a projected lead of 19 electoral college votes compared to Hillary Clinton’s three.
- Speaking on Fox & Friends by phone this morning – as is his custom – Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump lashed out at pollsters who show him narrowly but consistently behind Democratic rival Hillary Clinton, alleging that most polls “just put out phony numbers”:
I do think this, after the debates, I think my numbers really started to go up well. And then I did a series over the last two weeks, only of you know, really important speeches I think. 20,000, 25,000 people, 31,000 people were showing up to these speeches.”
Exit polls are showing significant Latino turnout. Bad news for Trump?
with less than 1% of polls reporting florida is still 50/50, it is gonna be a long night….
Vermont: 1% precincts reported- 40.7% Trump, 53.9% Clinton
New Hampshire: 1% precincts reported – 52.5% Trump, 41.0% Clinton.
Tentative Georgia results are a boon for Trump. Easy now …
Polls are about to close in Ohio, North Carolina and West Virginia.
3 million votes have been counted in Florida, and Clinton has the tiniest margin. Florida is a very important swing state.
Trump has taken the lead in Florida. Shaping up to be a seriously close race.
Despite polls closing the situation in Ohio and West Virginia is unclear.
Looks like this will be the first US presidential election since 2000 where neither of the major candidates get more than 50% of the vote
— Ed Conway (@EdConwaySky) November 9, 2016
Clinton is in the lead in South Carolina with 50.3%, Trump has 47.2%, but it’s not clear yet.
Polling in Florida is unbelievable tight, Virginia is expected to go Clinton and she has taken an early lead in South Carolina
States closing at 8pm ET: AL, CT, DE, DC, FL, IL, ME, MA, MD, MS, MO, NH, NJ, OK, PA, RI, TN
If Trump loses Ohio (where he is in the lead) and Florida (where Clinton is in the lead), it will be very tough for him to win.
Clinton is taking a strong lead in Ohio, Florida. Trump CANNOT win without those states.
South Carolina (a traditionally Republican state) has been called for Donald Trump by both CNN and Sky News, the result for North Carolina is still unclear and could be close.
Clinton just got a surge in the Democrat North East
Not clear the numbers but Cliton wins inMassachusetts, Maryland, New Jersey, Delaware, Rhode Island and District of Colombia, Trump wins Oklahoma and Mississippi.
North Carolina extends voting in 8 precincts in Durham County.
Washington D.C and Delaware have also now been called for Clinton according to the Associated Press.
Trump is projected to win South Carolina, which isn’t a surprise.
Florida still very close – North Carolina and Ohio leaning Clinton
Florida is too close to call.
Updated calls. Florida is still to close to determine.
Last three counties could push Trump over the edge in Florida …
Mississippi called for Donald Trump
Guardian US put Trump and Clinton on 48.5% each in Florida
Trump projected to win in South Carolina and Tennessee.
FiveThirtyEIght now forecast Trump’s chance of winning the election at 24%
Trump leading in Florida with 88% declared
Arkansas polls due to close next.
CNN reports states that are still too close to call include Florida, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Ohio, Pensylvania and Virginia.
Trump is in the lead by 3% in Texas, a very large state which normally votes Republican, but has a large Hispanic population.
Trump won in Alabama with 63%
Donald Trump’s campaign manager Kelly-Anne Conway accysing the Republican Party of not offering his candidacy enough support – an attempt to lay the blame on the GOP?
AP is calling Alabama for Donald Trump.
It’s looking like Trump’s going to take Florida.
Trump moving towards securing Florida – he still needs to win a few more swing states to win the election
Polling stations have closed in Virginia, but it’s still too early to call.
Georgia has proven surprisingly Trump-friendly this year, despite suggestions that Clinton was now a serious contender there.
3 injured at least one shot dead at a polling station in Los Angeles, according to The Independent.
Trump leading the popular vote but might fall short of the electoral college – could be a repeat of 2000?
AP calling Rhode Island for HIllary Clinton.
Republicans keep the House of Representatives
Clinton in the lead in Ohio and Trump leading in Virgina, but that could still change.
The race to 270 electoral college votes remains tight.
Third Parties: Gary Johnson currently polling 3% with his core states still to come in; Jill Stein at 0.6%
Florida’s board of election puts Trump at a 1% lead in the state.
The AP has announced that Trump won Mississippi.
On Farage’s comments, one student watching in the Stags told us:
“Farage always has something interesting to say, and Farage is right in that what both candidates said about the US relationship with the UK Trump has been much more supportive of our oreign policy aims than Clinton has”
North Carolina and Ohio shifting towards Trump according to New York Times
Trump leading in Florida and Ohio according to the BBC.
AP announces that Clinton wins Illinois.
No shocks in the Midwest or Illinois – Trump and Clinton respectively
Trump wins Texas according to AP.
Clinton wins New York according to AP.
Trump has 123 electoral college votes, Clinton has 97 according to the BBC.
Read our interview with a Southampton student and Trump supporter.
The latest batch of states have been called by AP – is it still looking positive for Trump?
The Associated Press announces that Trump won Arkansas
If Trump wins North Carolina, Virginia, Florida, and Ohio it becomes difficult for Clinton to win the election.
Current national vote share is 130 Trump – 97 Clinton according to the New York Times – remember 270 votes is the threshold a candidate needs to reach to win the presidency.
Politico reporting Trump has won the popular vote in Nebraska. Many traditionally Democratic states are still yet to be called.
According to exit polls conducted in Florida Clinton isn’t doing as well with female voters as she had in other states – could this be part of the reason why the contest in the state is so close? She was only supported by 51% of women voters polled there in comparison with 3 percent in Michigan and New Hampshire; 54 percent in Ohio, Wisconsin,
Georgia and Colorado; 55 percent in North Carolina; and 58 percent in
Pennsylvania (figures from ABC News).
Trump leading in Florida, Virginia and Ohio according to the BBC, which are 3 key states.
ABC projects that Clinton has won Connecticut.
Stock markets have fallen as the race gets tighter
According to AP Trump has won in Louisiana.
Trump now has 137 electoral college votes, Clinton has 104. Remember they need 270 to win.
Strong performance by Trump in swing states so far – likelihood increasing that he could be swapping Trump Tower for the White House
The value of the Mexican Peso is proving an interesting barometer for global opinion of how the election is going – more info on the fluctuating exchange rate.
Ohio looks like it will be backing Trump
The night is going better for Trump than the polls predicted, but none of the swing states have announced their final numbers.
Florida and North Carolina still too close to call.
Rumours being reported on Sky News that Republican National Committee will challenge the Florida result if it doesn’t go their way – this could go down to the wire.
Trump and Clinton both deadlocked at 11/10 to win on Skybet
— Surge Radio (@SurgeRadio) November 9, 2016
Trump still leading in vote share.
At the moment, Republicans have a majority of 1 in the Senate, they have 42 and Democrats have 41, they need 51 for a majority.
We are in the middle of potentially the most dramatic, tightest and ground breaking US Presidential Election
CNN now projecting that Republicans will retain control of the US house.
Fox News declared Clinton the winner in New Mexico.
Clinton is back in the lead in Virginia, but Trump is still in the lead overall.
Clinton officially in the lead in Virginia.
Current vote share in Florida according to Sky News:
A very important demographic for both candidates is white blue collar workers. Historically they vote for Democrats, but this hasn’t been true recently, and they’re an important group in some state, such as Michigan.
Eastern Markets such as in Japan turning negative, Brexit 2.0
Asian shares have dropped as Trump continues in the lead.
Fox News has called Virginia for Clinton, but other news networks haven’t yet.
The Guardian, AP and BBC have projected Montana for Trump.
Michigan proving a more important swing state than expected, Donald Trump taking an early lead
Trump leading by 1.1% in Florida with 95% of the vote counted. He also leads significantly in North Carolina and Ohio.
Reports from CNN: The DOW is down 500 points and the value of the Mexican peso has fallen by 7%. Gold values have increased by 3%.
Politico reports that Oklahoma votes to protect the state’s power to impose capital punishment and set methods of execution, such as the death penalty.
Clinton is ahead in Colorado and Minnesota she really needs the votes. Politico has announced that Trump has won Missouri.
New Mexico set to be projected to Clinton while Missouri going to Trump
Minnesota elects first Somali-American lawmaker in the country. Ilhan Omar defeated a 44-year incumbent in the August primary.
NBC reports Donald Trump wins Missouri.
Florida has counted 99% of the votes and Trump is still ahead.
Clinton projected to win in New Mexico.
Sky News reporting the Mexican Peso is now at its weakest value in history against the dollar.
BBC reporting Florida so close it may not be declared until tomorrow.
New York Times gives Trump 80% chance of winning presidential race.
ABC News reporting based on the exit poll that Trump has won Ohio
Trump projected to win in Ohio, the state that has predicted the president every time apart from once since 1944
Latest calls as some media organisations start to shift their forecasts in favour of Trump.
One-time Presidential candidate John McCain has been re-elected as Arizona senator, Politico reports.
Politico also reports Clinton has now won Virginia.
Major mix up on the BBC, initially calling Trump then changing their mistake to Clinton. A brief glimpse of hope for her campaign
Professor of Political Science from City University New York speaking on Sky News equates a Trump presidency with “heading off a cliff”.
Trump is currently leading in Michigan and Wisconsin, will be difficult for Clinton win if these positions are maintained.
Clinton wins Virginia, FiveThirtyEight now forecasting she has a 52% chance of becoming president.
Associated Press now calling Ohio for Trump.
Still close as we edge towards more calls and declarations – will the Trump majority hold?
A county in Wisconsin that Romney in 2012 won by 2, Trump has +26 at current count.
Canada’s visa website has crashed due to overwhelming traffic
CNN projecting Colorado for Clinton, worth 9 votes in the electoral college system.
News outlets currently reporting that Trump has won Florida
AP calling the battleground state of Florida for Trump, a heavy blow to Clinton.
A roundup of the latest calls – has Clinton struggled to appeal to certain areas?
Polls in California, Hawaii, Oregon, Washington, and Idaho close shortly. These are all unlikely to be swing states however. Polls for California, which is arguably the biggest prize with the largest number of Electoral College votes, close at 11pm Eastern Time and could prove to be the deciding factor tonight.
NY Time project a Trump Presidency at 95%
Trump has won North Carolina
Oregon and Washington predicted for Clinton
Trump’s lead in Michigan is narrowing
AP calling Oregon for Clinton.
Polls have now closed in all states apart from Alaska, Clinton predicted to have taken Hawaii.
CNN reporting due to a county still reporting in Michigan, Clinton still has a chance to win
Trump lead reported to be flagging in Wisconsin
Trump projected to win Utah
AP reports that the 2016 US Election could produce one of the largest gender gaps in more than 40 years.
New York Times projecting Trump to win 300 votes in the electoral college system, while Clinton ahead by 1% in the popular vote
North Carolina’s measure to legalise marijuana for medical use has passed with 64% of the vote supporting. AP now calling a Trump win in North Carolina.
CNN reporting global stock markets ‘tanking’ as the results come in
Many Trumps comparing this to Brexit in the UK. Less about Trump being better and more about what he represents as anti-establishment
What would President Trump do once in office if elected? The New Yorker attempted to find out.
LA Times reporting that marijuana legalized for recreational use in California
Trump’s lead in Michigan is down to only 25,000 votes
Conflicting reports on Pennsylvania, some saying Clinton has the lead, others reporting Trump has just taken it by only 8000 votes
This election has seen an increased turnout of rural voters – could they have helped to boost Trump’s standing?
Arizona is leading toward Trump according to NPR
Clinton aide tells Sky News that “nothing has come easy” and they “expect a long night”.
Clinton winning in Nevada, Iowa leaning toward Trump
Detroit Free Press has called Michigan for Clinton, no other news network has reported on this.
The FT reports that the Mexican Foreign Minister has now been called to an “urgent meeting” in the country’s Presidential Palace. The Mexican Peso has continued to fall.
Guardian reporting that Clinton has won Washington
Associated Press calls Washington as a Clinton win.
Politico reporting that Trump has won Utah
Fox News projecting Wisconsin for Trump
Georgia has projected for Trump
Guardian is describing the impact on currencies and the financial markets as ‘bigger than Brexit’
Trump is now leading in overall declared vote share.
Fox News also projecting Trump to win Iowa
Trump now has more electoral votes than the 206 gained by Mitt Romney in 2012.
Other outlets also reporting Iowa for Trump
Widespread Trump success but also widespread Marijuana legalisation…
Many are pointing out the similarities between the polling failure in both Brexit and Trump
Michigan and Wisconsin are the key states, both projected for Trump as it stands and if that is true then Trump will be the next president of the united states
The ballot legalising marijuana for medical uses in Massuchesetts passed with 53% in favour.
FiveThirtyEight are now predicting 78% chance of Trump presidency
Business Insider projecting Iowa, Utah, and Wisconsin for Trump
FiveThirtyEight are predicting at 97% that Republicans will retain control of the Senate
CNN reporting electoral college count at 232-209 to Trump
FiveThirtyEight now saying Trump is 84% likely to win
FiveThirtyEight reports an education gap among female voters: “college-educated white women voted for Clinton 51 percent to 45 percent,
but non-college-educated white women voted for Trump 62 percent to 34
Clinton is now reported to be in the lead in Pennsylvania
3rd Party Candidates Jill Stein and Gary Johnson have more than doubled their vote share from 2012
NBC reporting Clinton’s lead in Pennsylvania only 7000 votes
AP now calling an Iowa victory for Trump.
Clinton’s PA lead is particularly vulnerable because the more Republican-leaning areas are still counting, whereas larger cities have already declared.
6 News has reported that Trump has just taken the lead in Pennsylvania by only 0.1%
If Clinton loses Pennsylvania she cannot win the US presidency.
Is 2016 a similar contest to the surprise Republican victory in the 1980 presidential election?
We’re currently waiting for 9 states, several of them key for Clinton
States that are yet to be called include:
- New Hampshire
AP reports that there was no large scale fraud, intimidation or hacking at the polls.
Only 2800 votes separating the candidates in Pennsylvania
Associated Press calls a Clinton win in Nevada.
A county that Romney won easily in 2012 has yet to declare in Pennsylvania, making Clinton very vulnerable there.
Confirmed that the Republicans have secured a majority in the House of Representatives, a move likely to restrict Democrat influence further.
FiveThirtyEight currently forecasting a 13% chance of Clinton winning Alaska.
Politico reporting that Paul Ryan, who was reticent to support Trump as nominee, will not continue to be Speaker in the House of Representatives post election.
Trump is now also winning the popular vote nationwide.
FiveThirtyEight have increased Clinton’s odds of winning to 21% after her Nevada win
Looking probable that Clinton will win the popular vote by around one percentage point according to the New York Times.
Trump now winning in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania
The following states have still not been called:
- New Hampshire
A few islands in Alaska still have people voting! Last polls close at 6am GMT.
Nebraska votes to reinstate the death penalty
Fox News has Wisconsin for Trump
To conclude our liveblog: Trump is probably going to win short of a miracle. Atmosphere of gloom in Stags.
And that brings our coverage of this historic election to an end – needless to say no one could have predicted the result and its not what the pollsters expected. We’ll continue covering the fallout, reaction and final result in future articles here at Wessex Scene. Thanks for following our liveblog!