- Labour Party and Business: A Difficult Relationship?
- Chameleon Conservative Cameron Shows True Colours
- An Election Reflection for a Majority Minority
- Mhairi Black: Giving Politics a Makeover
- Galloway Threatens Legal Action Over Election Result
- Voter Turnout: What The Numbers Tell Us About The 2015 General Election
- Looking At The Reaction to the Election Explains its Result
- The Polls Were Wrong Because People Lied, it’s That Simple!
- Russell Brand “Resigns” from Politics following General Election Result
- It’s Not The Cold War Anymore, We Don’t Need a Nuclear Deterrent
- The Future of Labour: Who Will Be The Next Leader?
- The Future of the Liberal Democrats: Who Will Be the Next Leader?
- The Future of UKIP: Who Will Be the Next Leader?
- A Tale of Three Ends
- The Tory Legacy
- If the Party Leaders were characters from Friends…who would you vote for?
- The Ten (Well, Six) Commitments: Is Stone Legally Binding?
- Tuition Fees: A Hollow Attempt to Pander to the Student Vote?
- 6,417 Ed Milligrams – What Do You Actually Vote For?
- Boris Johnson to become Gangster Rapper
- Political Engagement: The Calm After the Storm
- Parliamentary Candidate Interview: Green Party’s John Spottiswoode.
- Parliamentary Candidate Interviews: TUSC’s Sue Atkins
- Parliamentary Candidate Interview, Independent Candidate Chris Daviss
- “I don’t think the Liberal Democrats should be in government just for the sake of it” – An Interview With Nick Clegg
- Parliamentary Candidate Interview, TUSC’s Nick Chaffey
- Parliamentary Candidate Interview: Conservative’s Jeremy Moulton.
- Should Young People Be Made To Vote?
- The Nationalist Parties
- No Votes for Women?
- None of the Political Candidates Ticking Your Box? There is Another Option.
- The Other Parties
- Liberal Democrats Party Profile
- The Green Party
- Labour Party Profile
- In Defence of the Coalition
- Why Labour Should Win the Election But Won’t
- The Protest Vote: The Weapon of the Disenfranchised.
- Why Young People Must Use Their Vote
- An Interview With Natalie Bennett
- What Will a Multi-Party System Mean for Britain?
- Tuition Fees: Must Try Harder Ed
- Science and Policy
- This Election is Far Bigger Than Party Politics
- Parliamentary Candidate Interviews: Ian Callaghan, Green Party
- Parliamentary Candidate Interviews: Lib Dem’s Adrian Ford
- Paliamentary Candidate Interview – Labour’s Darren Paffey
- Parliamentary Candidates Interviews: Lib Dem’s Eleanor Bell
- TV Debates: The Crucifixion of David Cameron
- Parliamentary Candidate Interview – Labour’s Rowenna Davis
- Parliamentary Candidate Interview, the Green Party’s Angela Mawle
- Can We Trust Politicians Who Act Like Schoolchildren?
- Parliamentary Candidate Interview – UKIP’s Sandra James
- Manifesto Focus: Labour
- Why Nuclear Weapons Are Imperative For The UK’s Security
- Southampton’s Role in the General Election Should Not Be Overshadowed by a Sausage Roll
- Just When You Thought UKIP Couldn’t Do Anything Right…
- What the Hell Do You Want?
- Which Political Leader Are You?
- The EU: To Be or Not To Be
- Your 2015 General Election Candidates
- What a Silly Sausage: Southampton UKIP Candidate Accused of Bribery
- UKIP Party Profile
- Conservative Party Profile
- The Leaders Debate: The Insurgents, The Pretender & The Incumbent
- SUPA’s Short and Sweet Guide to Voting on 7th May
- TV Debate: Clash of the Titans
- Leaders Debate Brings Hope For Progressive Politics
- TV Debates: David Cameron and Ed Miliband Versus Britain
- 14,000 Voters Missing From Electoral Role in Southampton – Register to Vote Now!
- Men’s Rights Party Set To Contest in General Elections
- A Royal Coup? – Queen Guitarist Brian May Considering Standing for Election
- Debating Over Debates
- Galloway Demands Inclusion in TV Debates
- The General Election 2015 – A Disunited Kingdom?
- 99 Days To Go: The Most Unpredictable Election Yet!
- Poll Indicates Demand for Green Party to be Included in Election Debates
- Have You Registered To Vote?
- Is Sol Campbell running for Parliament?
- Salmond to Stand as MP
- Students May Hold the Key!
- The Green Party Should Not Be Included in the 2015 General Election Debates
- Parliamentary Candidate Interview: Alan Whitehead MP
- What’s at Stake for Students in the General Election?
- It’s Time For Politicians To Get Down With The Kids
- The Debates Debate
- Who Will Run The Country in 2015?
- New Year, New Government? New Politics?
- Newly Elected Itchen MP Accused of Helping UKIP Secure Labour Votes
As with Labour and the Liberal Democrats, there has been rife discussion and speculation as to who will be the next party leader of UKIP after Nigel Farage announced he was stepping down after failing to win the Thanet South seat.
With very few high profile UKIP members and only one UKIP MP, there is not a huge pool of potential leaders. Despite stepping down, he has also said that he would not rule out putting his name forward for party leader again in September. He told BBC News that
“There will be a leadership election for the next leader of UKIP in September and I will consider over the course of this summer whether to put my name forward to do that job again”.
Farage is recommending Suzanne Evans, the deputy chairman, to be stand-in leader until the new leader is chosen, so she could be a strong contender. So let’s delve more deeply into who might take over and why:
Suzanne has been a member of UKIP for two years after defecting from the Conservative Party. Suzanne is Farage’s deputy chairman and oversaw the launch of the UKIP manifesto. She won 14.4% in Shrewsbury & Atcham which was surprising as it was never a UKIP target. She is often viewed far more positively than other UKIP members for her diligence and calm, unthreatening manner. Farage has previously claimed that young women are now voting for the party, and if the new UKIP leader was a woman this might give this statement some credibility. She is currently favourite to win at the bookies, with 4/7 on Bet365 and 5/6 at William Hill.
Re-elected in Clacton and now UKIP’s only MP, Douglas Carswell is also a defector from the Conservative Party. He is perhaps the most well-known and high profile candidate for UKIP leadership, and is thought to be engaging and well-respected by the media. Carswell is quite classically liberal, which might not match voters in the north. Because he only defected from the Conservatives a year ago, it may look bad on him if he were to run for party leadership. Despite ruling himself out, he is a favourite for the next leader alongside Suzanne Evans, but bookies have him at lightly less likely odds with 9/4 on Bet365 and 8/13 at Betfair. Looks like the bookies think politicians lie for some reason.
Paul Nuttall is the antithesis of Farage, which may work very well with working class voters. He was educated at a comprehensive school and comes from a working class background wherein his family were Labour supporters. His leadership would focus on overturning Labour in the north, and is often credited as the architect of UKIPs northern strategy. He has been Farage’s deputy for the last five years, an MEP for North West England with a UKIP membership longer than the other favourites to win, and the only one from a non-Conservative background. However, he has the potential to be a far more controversial character than Farage as a supporter of reintroducing the death penalty for child murderers, serial killers and those who murder police officers. He also has a Catholic background and advocates limiting abortion to the first 12 weeks of a pregnancy. There would be some friction between Nuttall and his only MP Carswell, as Nuttall would be contending with Carswell’s classic liberalism. His odds of leadership are 7/1 at William Hill.
One of the outside bets is another Conservative defector Mark Reckless. However, following his defeat in Rochester and Strood to Conservative candidate Kelly Tolhurst, leadership is looking less likely. He was previously ruled the 13th most rebellious Tory between 2010 and 2014 after leading rebellions and voting against the party whip 56 times in these four years – while some may see this as very endearing and integral, others may worry he would rebel too much in leadership. His odds are 14/5 at Betfair.
Nigel Farage stood down for a year and was re-elected in 2010 before, so he could do it again. He said he will consider standing for leadership in September over the summer, but argues that he would like at least a couple of months off, as according to him, he has not had a two-week holiday since 1993. Many may adhere to the “better the devil you know” mode of thinking in this leadership contest. His odds are 4/6 at Betfair.
UPDATE: As of 11th May, UKIP rejected Farage’s resignation, so he remains leader of UKIP, at the very least for now.
UKIP Chairman Steve Crowther said in a statement:
“As promised Nigel Farage tendered his official resignation as leader of UKIP to the NEC. This offer was unanimously rejected by the NEC members who produced overwhelmingly evidence that the UKIP membership did not want Nigel to go.
On that basis Mr Farage withdrew his resignation and will remain leader of UKIP. In addition the NEC recognised that the referendum campaign has already begun this week and we need our best team to fight that campaign led by Nigel. He has therefore been persuaded by the NEC to withdraw his resignation and remains leader of UKIP”.
So I guess the answer to this question is… Nigel Farage, Again.